World's 10 Most Influential and Innovative Companies (BusinessWeek, via David Hunkar/Seeking Alpha) Five of the 10 are listed on NYSE: JPMorgan Chase, Monsanto, Toyota, Unilever and Wal-Mart.

The Role of Venture Capital: Turning Nothing Into Something (Fred Wilson)

Enough Doom and Gloom: 10 Positive Forecasts for 2009 (The Good News Economist via Seeking Alpha)

SEC Broadens Its Prove Of Failures in Madoff Case(WashingtonPost.com)
Bid to Revoke Madoff's Bail Cites His Gifts (NYT.com)
Prosecutors Seek to Jail Madoff (WSJ.com)

The New York Times could cut its costs by outsourcing some of its business section content? (24/7 Wall Street, via Talking Biz News) Yes, and cut its throat. The Times's business section is an integral component of the paper's identity.

And of course, your daily dose of historical trivia follows. Have a good Tuesday, folks.

Today in NYSE History (NYSE.com)
6 Jan. 1933 -- The NYSE began requiring an independent audit of listed companies' annual financial statements.

Global Economic Crisis Weighs Heavily on Venture-Backed Exits in 2008; IPO Exits at 30 Year Low, M&A Activity Slows (Thomson Reuters/National Venture Capital Association)

NYSE Euronext to Host Investor Day on Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2009 (NYSE.com)

Spending Cuts Could Spare Execution, Order Management Systems (SecuritiesIndustry.com)

For Centralized CDS Clearing, More May Not Be Merrier (SecuritiesIndustry.com)

How Did Madoff Fool the SEC? (Portfolio.com)

By The Numbers: How 2008 Shakes Out (MarketBeat)

The Right to Know (Richard Edelman) -- Transparency and accountability are the prerequisites for trust and credibility.

The Benefits of My Absence (Floyd Norris, NYTimes.com -- Floyd is another guy, like me, who takes time off and the market rebounds.)

This half-hour video is almost three months old, but for some reason I just got a belated Google alert about it. It captures remarks by NYSE Euronext CEO Duncan Niederauer at Boston College's CEO Club at an interesting point in time: 7 October, 2008. As Duncan notes early in his remarks, a lot had happened in the previous 30 days:

• Exactly a month earlier, Duncan's Sunday celebration of his birthday was interrupted by news that the U.S. government was seizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, he recounts. That was followed in short order by:
• Merrill Lynch's "forced marriage" to Bank of America;
• Washington Mutual's similar marriage to J.P. Morgan;
• Wachovia's to what at the time was "a player to be named later;"
• AIG being "more or less nationalized;"
• In Europe, similar news on Fortis and Dexia;
• Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs becoming bank-holding companies; and
• The SEC's temporary ban on short selling.

So Duncan's speech takes place on the heels of 30 days that transformed the financial world, not to mention, he adds, that the Dow dropped 800 points the day before the event, to fall back below the benchmark 10,000 level.

In view of all that, Duncan uses his remarks to outline a "new reality."

In the newly emerging financial landscape, he notes, banks and investment banks have converged. "I don't know if the so-called investment bank survives this transformation," Duncan says. The two largest remaining investment banks had just become bank-holding companies, he adds. This also means less leverage in the system, which he says is probably healthier in the long run. It also means lower returns on capital. Customer deposits are king, which was evident in the then-competition to acquire Wachovia.

Another key component of the new reality has to be a migration toward transparency, Duncan says. There will be regulatory pressure to move some of the financial products that have traded in the dark, with little regulation, into the more transparent exchange-trading umbrella. He calls for regulators, the industry and the exchanges to "come to the table" to develop mutually acceptable solutions to create greater transparency.

Duncan also poses a couple of questions "that we should all be asking ourselves":

• How do we put American capital markets back to work? Duncan notes to the Boston-based audience that only one venture-capital-backed company went public in the first quarter of 2008; none in the second quarter, the first time that had happened in decades; and five in the third quarter.

• How do we ensure America's ability to compete globally? He observes that the U.S. no longer is the default choice of non-U.S. companies raising capital outside their home markets.

He also wonders aloud whether we could "piggyback" off the then-pending federal rescue plans to begin getting back to where we need to be in terms of rebuilding confidence in our financial institutions and the economy.

Again, the remarks are "as of" early October and of course the world has continued shaking since then, but I thought the talk offers some neat insight into that snapshot point in time. My summary doesn't really do it justice; listen yourself if you have a chance. As always, your thoughts are welcome in the "comments" box below.

NYSE Euronext CEO Duncan Niederauer spoke briefly with Bloomberg TV's Cris Valerio on Wednesday afternoon about 2008 and what's ahead. Here's the link to the video (note, you have to click on "video".)

Some key takeaways:

• It might not have seemed like it given 2008's price volatility, but trading on the New York Stock Exchange was pretty orderly. Traders and investors retreated to the sidelines and that exacerbated the volatility, but on the NYSE by and large, the members and the technology did their respective jobs.

• It's difficult to forecast trading volumes, but here are some factors to consider: President-elect Obama is bringing with him new hope and optimism, people have a fresher outlook, and there remains money on the sidelines. On the other side of the ledger, until confidence comes back and volatility returns to more-normal levels, Duncan doesn't think that derivatives volumes will return to the levels of two or three months ago.

• His message to regulators is that last year's experience shows that transparent, regulated markets work. Using these markets to bring more sunlight and liquidity to opaque, less regulated securities would be preferable to writing reams of new regulations.

• Best quip: in response to being asked what it was like to head NYSE Euronext during the past year, he says with a smile, "In a word, tiring."

There was an unusually high number of comments and e-mails (OK, it was about 15, but that's more than we usually get!) in response to The Madoff Scandal and Payment for Order Flow, and the Seeking Alpha version of that post, 'Payment for Order Flow': Madoff's Earlier Days. Having the piece run on SA generated some additional feedback, which increases the value of the conversation. Today, I'm going to highlight three of the comments.

From Exchanges:

Thank you for a wonderful article. I have said it in the past and I will say it again, the SEC should be rebuilt from the ground up or delisted. It is undeniably the single biggest impediment to fair trade I have seen in my 21 years on the street. If I misplaced a ticket, or a timestamp was off, I received a letter of admonition after 3,000 dollars in legal fees, but they repeatedly ignored documented missives detailing the Madoff Ponzi scheme, OMG. Worst of all they allow for outright bribery in the form of PFOF. It is a disgrace.
-- David R. Palmer

David -- We might soon get a better understanding of what happened: WSJ.com is carrying an Associated Press article reporting that the SEC's inspector general will testify about the matter on Monday before the House Financial Services Committee. Here's a link to the article.

From Seeking Alpha:

It is rhetorically easy to smear Madoff's market activities with his clearly fraudulent money managing. But we will have to wait for more information to know if there really was a connection.
I had personal experience with several different brokers who passed on the order flow payments to their customers, and the firms themselves had computer systems that sought the best price, order flow payment or not (since anyway it did not go to them).
I think that the NYSE specialist system is pretty good overall, but it has also suffered from abuses from time to time to time again.
-- mplaut

The question is are we better off with a fragmented market or should we have a central market place?
With fragmented markets,dark pools, ECN, ATS, OMS, internalization... other exchanges that trade the same security can regulators oversee all these venues. One thing is certain that the upfront commissions which appear on customers confirmations have come down, but the question is do customers realize that other costs are incurred. How many customers know what payment for order flow means, even though the back of their confirmation acknowledges that fact.
I would hope that when the oversight committee meets that someone asks the SEC commissioner if he feels 100% confident that the regulators can regulate today's fragmented market. Additionally I would like to hear the SEC comment on the benefits of payment of order flow to investors.
-- capitalstructureman

mplaut -- Agreed, we need to learn more before reaching any conclusions. My purpose was to raise questions. It will be interesting to learn the answers, just as I'm surprised to hear that you had brokers who passed along payments for order flow to customers. Also agreed: any system is susceptible to abuse; I think it's beneficial to discuss these issues so we can better understand how to prevent violations of trust and encourage compliance with the rules and the law.

capitalstructureman -- All good questions: Where does the balance of competition versus fragmentation net out? Are we better off today? Do customers know enough about how their trades are handled? Can this new marketplace be regulated effectively? The answers will impact the public's confidence and participation in our financial markets. Again, much more to follow on these issues.

Happy New Year, folks. A little historical trivia to start your year off right:

Today in NYSE History (NYSE.com)
02 Jan. 1929 -- Members began wearing identification badges on the trading floor.

I just realized that this year will mark the 80th anniversary of the Great Crash of 1929. How timely, given the events of last year! Much more to come on that, I'm sure.

BTW, in the spirit of transparency and because these posts can travel far and wide (I wish!), I'm adding an explicit disclosure statement to each post, which will echo what's already stated in our "About" and "Authors" pages.

Disclosure: The author is vice president of Corporate Communications at NYSE Euronext and owns shares of the company.

The wind it was howlin' and the snow was outrageous.
We chopped through the night and we chopped through the dawn.
When he died I was hopin' that it wasn't contagious,
But I made up my mind that I had to go on.
-- Bob Dylan and Jacques Levy, "Isis"

That sums up the weather conditions in these parts at the moment. But I'm not chopping through the night or the dawn or anything else at the moment; just sitting on the couch. I told my wife I couldn't go out and shovel the walk just yet because I had something to do for work. So I made up my mind that I had to go blog.

A few items before shutting down 'til 2009:

Here are the new circuit-breaker levels for the first quarter of 2009.

US Regulators Poised To Miss Deadline For CDS Clearing (Dow Jones, via EasyBourse) Excerpt:
A pact between three U.S. financial regulators to coordinate approval of central clearing for credit derivatives is showing cracks as their year-end start-up deadline approaches. ...
The Federal Reserve, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission have collectively approved only one of the three clearing proposals from U.S.-based exchanges. ...
While NYSE Euronext (NYX) received the go-ahead last week for a U.S. operation, following the launch of its European platform, credit-default swap clearing proposals from CME Group Inc. (CME) and IntercontinentalExchange Inc. (ICE) still await the green light from some regulators.

My take on that issue: coordinated would be good; fast is paramount. These platforms will help reduce risk and increase transparency, and our economy needs all of those goods, sooner rather than later.

NYSE Euronext: Rebound Likely Zachary Scheidt, via the Seeking Alpha blog) Excerpt: Over the past year, NYX has had to play defense as changing technology and volatile markets have pressured the company. The NYSE floor and open outcry system are quickly becoming a thing of the past, and the exchange has had to scramble to keep up with competition. But hefty investments in new platforms have increased the performance of its systems and it now appears that NYX is winning back business from competing exchanges.

I can't comment on our stock price, as NYSE Euronext doesn't offer guidance. But I can tell you that the NYSE Trading Floor and their electronic tools are an integral part of our beginning to win back business and are on their way to becoming a trading model for the future, not a thing of the past. Will invite Zachary in for a first-hand look.

BEST STOCK MARKET BLOG POSTS OF 2008! (Clean version) (Dinosaur Trader) -- DT has again asked more than two dozen members of blog gang (including your humble blogger) for their favorite posts of the year. Some good reading here. And DT himself writes a couple of sentences introducing each post. On the "clean version" linked here, those intro's are PG-rated. On the other version, DT spiced up the intro's to generate a little more traffic, and they're R-rated and heading toward NSFW (that's not safe for work, for you Web newbies). I can't link to the second version on this G-rated blog, but it's not hard to find either. And it's funny. Hey, I had to check it out -- it's my job! Really it is!

The good folks at the Seeking Alpha blog for the first time picked up an Exchanges post, and offered to pick up some others now and then. That prompts me to dust off my five-word acceptance speech: "There must be some mistake." Seriously, thanks, SA; glad to join you.

Time to grab that snow shovel now. Reminder: full trading day on Friday, Jan. 2, 2009. See you there. One last bit of historical trivia for the year:

Today in NYSE History
31 Dec. 1999 -- The NYSE closed at 1:00 p.m. to allow technicians to prepare for the possibility of "Y2K" computer glitches. There were none.

Ah, Y2K. I was one of many lucky colleagues who "volunteered" to work that historic millennium-beginning New Year's Eve. A few of representing different areas of our business were holed up in a conference room all night, surrounded by PCs and phones, ready for anything. Here is an excerpt from my notes that night.

12:00 a.m.: Lights still on. Phones working. Systems fine. Good work, folks.
12:05 a.m.: Lights still on. Phones working. Systems fine.
12:10 a.m.: Lights still on. Can we go home now?

Happy New Year to you all. Easy on that egg nog. Aw, what the heck, go whole-hog on the egg nog. As my grandmother used to say, "Eh! It's a holiday!"

News articles about the Madoff scandal are beginning to focus on Madoff's earlier days in the business, when he and his firm were best known as the leading practitioners of "payment for order flow," and as driving forces behind the growth of the "third market" as well as Nasdaq. In this post I'll parse two articles on the topic that have appeared in the last few days, as well as a relevant blog post.

SEC inaction that helped fuel scheme (FT. com) Excerpts, along with my own comments:

...It was the SEC's decision in the 1990s not to take a stand on the controversial issue of "payment for order flow" that helped fuel the rise of Bernard Madoff Investment Securities, the successful broker-dealer operation two floors above Mr Madoff's private fund operation in Manhattan.

According to regulators and competitors, Bernard Madoff Investment Securities enjoyed at least a decade of outsized growth in the 1990s because it paid brokers for business and exploited wide bid-offer spreads in the market.

By paying for order flow, Mr Madoff's firm siphoned roughly 10 per cent of the volume of trading on the New York Stock Exchange away from the specialist firms that dominated the Big Board's floor, creating what was known as a "third market". Then, according to competitors and regulators, Mr Madoff's firm thrived by trading within the bid-ask spreads, which could be sizeable.

The SEC had a longstanding rule regarding disclosure of any "remuneration" received in connection with stock transactions. But, as the practice of brokers paying for order flow became popular in the 1980s, concerns were raised about whether the brokers doing the paying were buying stocks at the best prices for investors.

There you have both the nut of the article and the disclosure of my own bias. Payment for order order flow took business away from the NYSE. I also believed -- and still do -- that pay for flow deprived investors of the opportunity to get the best price; that is, the ability to trade at a price better than the published best bid or offer. It was notable that Madoff and the firms he was trading for engaged in pay for flow with orders from unsuspecting retail investors, not those of institutional traders.

In 1990, the NASD empanelled a group of experts to study the subject. The committee was headed by former SEC chairman David Ruder, and included Mr Madoff. The so-called "Ruder committee" delivered a report in July 1991 dubbed, "Inducements for Order Flow".

The report found no legal basis for restricting the practice of payment for order flow, but recommended that the NASD require its members to disclose in advance the "factors that influence their order-routing and execution decisions".

The committee included the leading practitioner of the strategy in question?

If my memory serves, the SEC later required firms to disclose to customers that they may have received compensation for directing their order to a particular market or broker, or may have traded against the order themselves (a practice known as internalization). This disclosure was implemented by the firms as generic, boilerplate language on trade confirmations, with little if any effect.

In the 1990s, then SEC chairman Arthur Levitt criticised payment for order flow in speeches, but he never restricted the practice. Mr Levitt says he often asked his counsel for market regulation to figure out a way to ban the practice, but those requests went nowhere.

I think that merits more explanation; why did the requests go nowhere -- what happened?

The article goes on to explain how payment for order flow worked, and how immensely profitable it was for Madoff, until the introduction of decimalized stock prices shrunk spreads to as little as a penny. That meant it was no longer so profitable to pay for orders because the firm couldn't recoup that payoff (and then some) by capturing the spread on every trade.

This article got me wondering about other things as well.

Was Madoff's beginning as operating outside the established framework of markets the first indicator of future problems? In particular, was his treating trades as a commodity for his profit -- not that of the customer -- an early signal that regulators and investors should have heeded?

Given the NYSE's dominance of trading at the time, it is understandable that Madoff seemed like a David versus our Goliath, and I recognize that we needed competition. But in the name of fostering that competition, was Madoff given too much regulatory leeway? And did the SEC's allowing payment for order flow embolden Madoff to go on to bigger and worse things later? If he ends up on "60 Minutes," I think that would be a good question for him.

Similar ground is covered in Rigged Games (Forbes.com). Excerpt:

...Bernie led a group of Nasdaq marketmakers who wanted a piece of the NYSE’s very profitable game. They argued they could give investors a better deal by bypassing the established exchanges and matching buyers and sellers more rapidly on their own computers. There was only one problem: The marketmakers were gaming the system, too. Madoff paid brokers to steer orders to his computers--as long as they were from relatively ignorant retail customers who didn’t possess information that could move the market away from him too quickly. The marketmakers also kept spreads at 25 cents or more by refusing to post offer prices in “odd eighths,” or 12.5 cents off the bid, and refusing to deal with anybody who broke rank.

...Watching over all this misbehavior was the National Association of Securities Dealers, which ran Nasdaq and was controlled by executives in the securities industry. Madoff served as Nasdaq chairman from 1990 to 1993, and his brother Peter was NASD vice chairman in 1993.

Marketmakers “had a cushy existence in the Nineties,” says William Christie, a finance professor at Vanderbilt University who exposed the spread manipulation in an influential 1994 paper. That ended soon after Christie’s paper came out. Spreads collapsed literally overnight, and the Justice Department and class action lawyers extracted a consent decree and a $1 billion settlement a few years later.

The Forbes article underscores that the Madoff firm had a seat at the table of the self-regulatory organizations that made and enforced the policies and rules from which the firm stood to benefit. From what I gather in various news articles, prospective investors unfortunately took the leadership roles of Bernard Madoff and his family at Nasdaq and NASD as qualifying credentials for the firm as an investment manager, not warning signs or conflicts of interest that needed to be vigorously overseen.

Gaming in Dark Pools (MarketBeat) Excerpt: The rapid evolution of modern markets has caught securities regulators off guard in many instances this year, and they may be overlooking the scope of another problem in the rapidly growing alternative stock exchanges known as dark pools. One hedge fund manager says the only thing stopping him gouging clients of dark pools is his lawyer and his scruples. “It’s free money,” said Richard Gates, a portfolio chief at money manager TFS Capital. “It’s a neat inefficiency in the marketplace, and dark pools are growing tremendously in size.”

I take the MarketBeat post as a sign that the press is now going to be looking critically at little-noticed aspects of the markets, searching for nooks and crannies where the Next Big Problem might be brewing. That examination should be healthy for the development of markets and the protection of investors.

As the post points out, markets indeed have evolved rapidly. Dark pools are not the only such development. For example, internalized orders printed on the Finra-Nasdaq trade-reporting facility now account for more trading in NYSE-listed issues than Nasdaq does. Is that what policy makers intended when designing today's National Market System? Are such developments getting the appropriate level of regulatory attention, given their size and growth?

I don't know the answers, but I hope we're asking the right questions. There have been bigger changes in our markets in the last 10 years than in the previous 200 combined. Are we looking closely enough at the net effects? Conversely, are we stepping back far enough to take in what we've collectively created?

I'll try to mine these topics further. In the meantime, your thoughts are welcome in the comment box below.

PS -- I'm taking off "the rest of the year" so posting here probably will be light until I get back on Friday, 2 Jan., 2009. Happy New Year to all. May 2009 bring peace to us all, and a little prosperity might be kind of nice, too.

‘The Big Options Board’

December 26th, 2008

The Big Options Board (MarketBeat) Excerpt:

The floor of the New York Stock Exchange is undergoing a massive transformation that will not only add more people to the floor for the first time in years, but also give it far greater market share in an area that has been skyrocketing – options.

While trading volumes at the NYSE have never been higher, especially during the worst of the 2008 slump, floor personnel has been shrinking for the greater part of the last decade. About five years ago, there were about 3,000 traders and staff on the floor, compared with just 1,200 at the beginning of 2008.

But in the past month, 70 traders have joined the equities trading operation of the NYSE from the recently purchased American Stock Exchange, with more than 300 options traders scheduled to move into a redesigned art trading room on the floor of the NYSE on Feb. 9.

The NYSE and Amex will immediately move from the fourth- and fifth-largest options volume exchanges into the top three, and closer to the Chicago Board Options Exchange and International Securities Exchange than they have ever been.

Happy Friday, folks. On Wednesday I promised to post any links to the traditional singing of "Wait Till The Sun Shines, Nellie," and my colleague Daniel Labovitz e-mailed me about this NPR report, which includes audio of the song as well as an interview with Ted Weisberg, president of Seaport Securities. Enjoy!

On Wall Street, Christmas Tradition Gives Hope (NPR.org)

PS -- I see that the official name of the song is as I have it above, not the more gramatically correct "Wait 'Til the Sun Shines, Nellie" that I had on Wednesday. Till intsead of 'til? Hey, give 'em a break, it was 1906.

A Christmas-Eve linkstocking full of news, and not a lump of coal in the bunch.

Regulators Back System to Clear Credit Swaps (WSJ.com)
The SEC gave exemptive relief for NYSE Euronext and our partner LCH.Clearnet Group to clear credit-default swaps in the U.S. "The approval is a first step toward providing greater oversight to the $54 trillion market, which has operated unregulated while its growth has exploded over the past decade. Congress is expected to take up the issue next year as it sorts out a broader review of financial-market oversight. Approving new platforms to process CDSs is part of an effort to reduce risk in a market blamed for exacerbating the financial crisis," the Journal says.
Here's our press release on it.

With IPOs at lowest level since 1977, firms run out of options (USAToday.com)
This article goes beyond the numbers and brings to life the effects of the dearth of initial public offerings on the viability of young companies; the creation of jobs; and the allocation of venture capital.

Technical Problems Halt Electronic Trading at CME (MarketBeat)
"Interest rate traders said open-outcry trading functioned as usual on CME Group’s trading floor, located at the Chicago Board of Trade."
When the machines go down, traders keep on keepin' on.

Internet Overtakes Newspapers as News Source (PewResearch.org)
But what is the main source of news on the Internet? Umm...err...newspapers.
And on a related note:
Online v. print reading: which one makes us smarter? (SciAm.com)
I think you can guess the answer.

Last but not least: If one of the networks puts up a link to the NYSE Trading Floor Members singing the traditional "Wait 'Til the Sun Shines, Nellie," this morning, I'll update this post with the link. It's Christmas Eve, after all. I'm a sucker for the sentimental, and the optimistic. In the meantime here's a great recording of the pop standard, circa 1906 and complete with 78-RPM vinyl scratchiness. Happy holidays to all, and to all a good 1 p.m. close today.

Quote of the Day

December 23rd, 2008

"In elevating to a level of demiworship people with big bucks, we have been destroying the values of our future generation. We need a total rethinking of who the heroes are, who the role models are, who we should be honoring."
-- Rabbi Benjamin Blech, professor of philosophy of law at Yeshiva University, on the downfall of Bernard Madoff (NYTimes.com)

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